Dryad Global, a provider of maritime risk and security intelligence, is advising the global shipping community to maintain a high level of caution following the recent announcement of a proposed ceasefire between the United States and Yemen’s Houthi movement. On May 6, the U.S. administration confirmed an immediate pause in its airstrike campaign in Yemen, which commenced on March 15.
This decision is part of an Oman-mediated ceasefire initiative aimed at halting hostilities between U.S. forces and the Houthi militia, especially in the Red Sea and Bab al-Mandab Strait. While commercial shipping in the region has not encountered direct attacks since late 2024, the Joint War Committee in London has not changed the war risk status for these waters.
Dryad Global insists that the overall threat level remains significant. A spokesperson emphasized, “This ceasefire is a positive diplomatic development — but we are a long way from declaring a return to safe and stable shipping conditions in the region.”
The spokesperson pointed out that the Houthi leadership has demonstrated unpredictable behavior during the conflict, launching attacks on vessels linked to countries outside the immediate conflict, such as Russia and China. The current ceasefire terms aim to prevent U.S. strikes on Houthi positions and restrict Houthi forces from targeting U.S.-flagged vessels.
However, Houthi officials have stated that this agreement does not extend to their ongoing operations against Israel. Recent Israeli military actions against key locations in Yemen raise concerns about further regional escalation.
Additionally, reports suggest Iran has withdrawn personnel from Houthi-held areas, potentially to strengthen its negotiating position in upcoming nuclear discussions with the U.S. Despite the shifting political landscape, Dryad Global warns that non-U.S. commercial vessels, particularly those associated with Israel or its allies, face heightened risk.
The company continues to offer real-time updates and threat assessments through its Secure Voyager Hub, providing essential insights for shipping companies, insurers, and operators navigating these complex maritime dynamics. The spokesperson concluded, “This announcement does not yet justify a material change in our regional risk posture; operators should remain vigilant and seek guidance from specialist advisors before transiting the area.”